I just received three emails from three different Latino national organization umbrella alliances in the last 24 hours. We are in complete coordination with four major national organizations. Namely:
" Clinton supporters Count too" org with headquarters in Ohio.
( pre-launched last May with over 16,000 sign-ups already even before the official lunch upon Clinton's concesstion.)
" McClinton Democrats for John McCain" org with headquarters in Malcomb County, Michigan ( will officially lunch 72 hours upon Clinton's concession speach. will release & recruit until Clinton officially drops out of the race. Reportedly already has 11,000 organizers spread over MI,PA,MO,NJ,OH,WV &^ NH)
" United Latino Clinton Democrats" currently only open activists, organizers & elected officials until the official Clinton withdrawal. Currently has 19,000 on email. Upon withdrawal, will be open to all Latino Democrats)
" United Asian Pacific-Americans democrats John McCain '08" headquarted in Bergen County, NJ for the Eastcoast & Seattle, Washington for the West Coast. ( pre-launch status. only open to Asian & Pacific Islander activists, elected officials, & organizers Until Clinton officials concedes the race. Then, it will immediately launch & be open all Asian Pacific Democrats." currently has 8,800 Asian organizers already signed-up )
All organizations above have vowed to go all out for All Democrats running for House, Senate, State, & local races.
It will have an official stand on the Presidency upon Clintons withdrawal.
As for Latinos, We Latino Clinton Democrats will wait until the last state primary ends. We then respectfully will notify Senora Clinton that she can either fully endorse Senor Obama immediately or she can take it all the way to Denver.
Whatever she decides to do, we will support her 100%
However, 19,000 Latino activists from 11 key battleground states representing community organizers, street activists, elected councilors, elected city, county & state latinos, who are all part of our email network will take a monumental vote.
Upon voting, we will open it to all rank & file latino democrats for Clinton.
We will vote within 7 business days of a Clinton endorsement of Obama. Or we will at the same moment as Denver.
There is only have 3 options for the 41,000 Clintonista leaders.
1) Support all democratic candidates from local, state & federal but vote for Senador John McCain for President.
2) Support all democratic candidates except abstain at the presidential level.
3) Support all democratic candidate but leave the Presidential ballot up to its members.
The 1st voting last May 19 had 63% for option 1, 31% for option 2, and the 4% for option 3. While 2% put "other".
The united unmbrella organizers predicted that 6.5 to 9 million registered democrats will either vote for McCain or not vote for President at all. It would represent 30% to 40% of Democrats who voted for Clinton in the primary.
This is real folks. Real Democrats who will Not Allow the railroading of the democratic process. We have the power! Not the RBC!
Stay tuned!
This united " Clintonistas of all stripes" will surpass the Reagan democrats of the 80's.
Viva Clinton ! Viva Democrats for Clinton!
" Its Not a Question of IF, its only a question of
HOW MANY Democrats will cross party lines or Stay at home on election day. Its not a question of how many whites & Latino democrats would not support the nominee, its only a question of by how much. It would be similar to the Reagan democrats two decades ago. The only difference today is the large Latino votes & Senior citizen voters are part of the 2008 block"
This is the best quote I've seen jointly given by democrat Henry Cisneros & GOP operative Al Castellanos on this issue.
All pollster agree on the findings. Polls in state after state show anwyhere from 25% to as high as almost 50% in states like Kentucky & West Virginia.
Democrats who would either vote for McCain in November or stay at home on election day.
Obama operatives can only work to try & minimize the percentages.
But even if numbers go at the low end of 25%, it would still be result in a devastating defeat for Obama in November.
Obama cannot afford to get Only 30%-35% of white voters. Obama cannot afford to get Only 55% of Latino voters.
Despite the Worst Republican Branding since Watergate, combined with a powerful media bias, we have a democratic nominee who would at best, give millions of democrats so much uncertainty until election night.
While we will increase our congressional house seats in November due in large part to the serious brand damage of the GOP, we will need lots of sleeping pills, lots of luck, and lots of divine intervention if we are too see a President Obama.
Its Kerry all over again. Obama has Absolutely No Room for error in the electoral map in November. There is No Wiggle room. Nothing.
We may all witness a relatively close popular vote race but a landslide electoral map defeat in November.
Not only possible, but extremely possible.
What a country. Only in america can you pick a weaker candidate for President.
Marissa Ferrer-Diaz & Regina Eusebio, radio personalities on Latino AM Rocky Mountain Radio radio which enjoys thousands of Latino listerners in 6 states:
New Mexico,Colorado,Nevada,Arizona,Californi
a & Utah are reporting today that they have received an "astonishing" number of close to 400 calls & emails in just 24 hours since the official kick-off of the " Clinton Supporters Count too " movement on the eve of May 14, 2008.
For those who are not familiar with this movement. Let me quote the actual words released to the media:
CLINTON SUPPORTERS COUNT TOO:
"This is the women's group leading a rebellion against the good old boys network of pundits and Democrat party operatives whose sexist assault on the first viable female presidential candidate continues to aid Barack Obama, the less qualified male candidate, over Hillary Clinton, the better qualified female candidate. The founders are a group of white, latino & african-american women who support Hillary Clinton. They are spread in battleground states with headquarters in Ohio. They will not support Senator Barack Obama in the fall."
Ms. Ferrer-Diaz expects an even large swell of Latinos to come forward once the last primary state is completed & Obama is annointed as the nominee by the DNC.
Latino Activists in Missouri, Michigan, Ohio & even Illinois are reporting similar trends in just 24 hours. The same is happening in the northeast corridor of PA,NJ,MA & NY courtesy of Maria Eloisa Hidalgo in the East coast.
CSCT founders are appearing in O'Reilly & Larry King. The Ellen De Generes show is also reported interested in inviting them.
They are also slated to appear in Latino TV in California & New Mexico next week.
Obama better reach out to these people before its too late.
He is already weak among latinos, women & working class whites.
Now these 3 major blocks of the democratic party have a venue to unite & possibly damage his candidacy big time.
This will get very big quickly if not addressed.
He is already weak as it is with these traditional groups. This will only damage him more.
The email for this democratic clinton supporters group is:
HCFPinOH@gmail.com
Ben Smith has talks about them:
http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0 508/Clinton_backer_backlash.html
Watching Obama tour the Auto plants in Michigan & address a reporter "sweetie". Then, fail to talk to the predominantly
" White working Class" employees of Chrysler who were all looking on, what a way to win voters.
Is this his way of winning women voters & working class whites?
He also Never addressed their issue. (If this was Bill or Hillary, they would have approached these "bitter workers", shook their hands, listened to their concerns, & gave them some comforting words & reassurance.
Good Luck Sweetie, You are going to need it. You better shape up.
There will be no more 93% Black voters who can carry a state in a general election for you. No more delegate splits in the Winner Take All GE. No more disproportionate allocation of delegates to urban areas with large African-American residents.
This is now, One on One with a War Hero.
No more North Dakota, No more South Dakota, No more Wyoming, No more Georgia, No more South Carolina, No more Alabama, No more Mississippi. - ALL RED in November !!!
As some of you know, I am a strong pro-Clinton supporter.
However, I am ready to support Senator Obama in November if he is indeed the nominee. I am confident that he will be a great President given the opportunity.
Let me now update you on the state of some Latino political activists. (Although we are technically suppose to be Non-Partisan, its no secret that these groups are Democratic leaning in political views.)
Just came off a conference call with over 270 Latino leaders, activists, local & county elected officials representing 29 states. Many of the participants are also members of organizations like NALEO, NCLR which is the Largest Latino Civil Rights Org in America, HBLA(Hispanics Business Leaders of America),LEAP, VIVA Latino Voter Mobilization, etc.
There was a strong presence of leaders from states like NM,CA,CO,MO,FL,NJ,NY,TX,PA,NV,OH,VA,MD,A Z.
Main Agenda: It is evident that Senator Barack Obama will very likely be the Democratic Nominee for President.
With that being the case, what unified action can we take to ensure the highest participation of Latino voters
But there is one FACT facing Latino activists this November.
( Base on multiple pollings & surveys completed by different Latino orgs in the last 60 days)
That fact is:
A) GOP John McCain is now poised to be the first Republican Presidential Candidate to ever win the Latino vote for President.
(multiple surveys show McCain polling at a range of 50% to as high as 58% among registered Latino voters against Obama who is ranging between 40% to 49% .)
B) Obama Latino campaign surrogates have repeatedly emphasizedto Latino politicians & activists, that Sen. Obama will need anywhere from 67% to 70% of Latino voters in the General Election in order to offset the expected drop of support from White voters in the General election.
Note: Kerry got 53% of Latino votes
Gore got 62% of Latino votes
B.Clinton got 72% of Latino votes
( CNN official 2004,2000,1996 national exit polls )
Actions Needed:
Heavy Latino Mobilization of voters across the country.
Target: Heavy emphasis on New 1st time voters, Latino Senior Citizens, & young Latino voters.
Solutions: In all past National & Statewide elections, VOTER MOBILIZATION was & has always been the answer for latino voters. Education of New Voters & assistance in transporting voters on election day.
But their is a Unique Problem facing Latinos in 2008 :
Various polling estimates have it at 33% to 46% of Latino democrats & latino leaning democrats will Not support Obama in the fall. ( This is why GOP McCain is poised to win the Latino vote for the first time )
Among this group of latino democrats : it is pretty much accepted that they are SPLIT between two groups.
Group A - Plans to Stay Home on election day
Group B - Plans to Vote for McCain in November
Here's the BIG HEADACHE that Latino activists across America right now. This will be the heavy discussion in the next two months.
The dilemma is:
If We Latinos go all out & Mobilize, convince, push,call, force, pressure Latino voters to come out on November 4th & exercise their priviledge & right to Vote.
One MAJOR UNINTENDED consquence is what SCARES & CONCERNS democratic latino activists.
We may unintentionally Add to the Damage on Obama by forcing these Latinos who were planning to Stay at Home, to actually Vote on election day & end up voting for John McCain.
Remember, the 'Stay at home" voters are at 15%-20% of All latino voters.Since they are democrats, these people have voted for Kerry, Gore & Bill Clinton in the past.
But of course, this group has no plans whatsoever in supporting Obama.
Will we be adding injury to our nominee by forcing hundreds of thousands of these voters to the polling booth just to vote for McCain anyway???
The argument of some on the call is these people will Definitely vote for the Democratic Down Ticket & thus, it is worth reaching out to them.
But others argue that they would rather have these large number of people just stay home rather than vote for McCain
This discussion will continue in the next two months.
Either way, speaking as a neutral observer.
So many Latino activists Do Not See how Obama can possibly win in November. They will support him. But his problem with Whites & Latino voters is real & not make believe.
Many Latino politicians "privately" ridiculed & called Donna Brazile's logic as "Pure Stupity".
No Democrat in 2008 or 2012 can win the white house without solid support from Latinos & Working Class whites. Its impossible.
NY Times writer Bob Herbert has joined the chorus of pro-obama slanted media personalities who have sounded the Alarm Bells in the last 24 hours.
Chris Matthews,Cooper Anderson, Gergen,Martin, Buchanan, Brazile & Olbermann, all sounded the alarm bells in the last 24 hours. The SOS...
Rev. Wright is about to destroy the 2008 campaign of Barack Obama.
With appearances in the NAACP & the NPC, there is no turning back at this point.
As Martin eloquently said.
" The only question seems to be. Does Obama have enough capital left within the Super Delegates that can
give him the nomination- with the very likelihood of losing the general election because of Rev. Wright's serious damage.
Will enough Super Delegates still go with Obama, knowing that he will likely lose in November?"
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/29/opinio n/29herbert.html?_r=1&ref=opinion&am p;oref=slogin
Madame Clinton, please don't go anywhere.
This thing is way far from over. It's just getting started.
Today's special report by Michael Barone for U.S. News & World Report finally acknowledges the change in the Popular vote. ( see link below)
But let me just bitch about the failure to report relevant Latino related politics.
The one thing that bothers me as a Hispanic is the " Failure"
of the mainstream media like US News, CNN or USA today to report the last two multi-state polls done by two large Hispanic Polling organizations both done in the last 30 days.
It was widely published in Hispanic Print media by many if most Latino local community papers. I cannot understand why the AP or some of these news outlets don't report in to All Americans.
Anyway, two polls were conducted by two different Orgs. One was for 8 states with the largest Latino voters while the other was more expanded because it covered the 10 states with the largest number of Latino voters.
Both polling orgs came up with pretty much very similar numbers & conclusions.
GOP John McCain is poised to be the first GOP Presidential candidate to win the Latino vote in November. He is leading Obama 52%-43% for the 8 states polled. ( against Clinton, Clinton carried a whopping 76% of Latino voters vs. Mccain)
While the 10 state polling had GOP McCain beating Obama in November at 50%-43% ( Clinton carried 79% of Latino voters in these 10 state poll against McCain)
No Republican has ever carried the Latino vote for the Presidency.
George Bush was the highest GOP vote getter ever in 2004 when he got 44% of latino votes against 53% for Democrat
Kerry.
In 2000, Al Gore got 62% of Latino votes against just 35% for Bush.
The highest Democrat to ever win the Latino vote was Bill Clinton. He won 78% of Latinos in 1996 & 72% in 1992.
Hispanic bloggers should email & demand news orgs to start publishing these polls.
As I wrote on my diary about two months ago, Obama will need to carry at least 70% of Latino votes in order to offset the expected loss of White voters. ( According to Obama's Hispanic Liason consultants in their lectures to dem Latino activists)
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/article s/2008/04/popular_vote_gives_clinton_an. html
Eleanor Clift & Newsweek is starting to believe.
They are joining a growing chorus of Democrats who believe that Hillary Clinton may actually win this nomination. The room for error on Obama's part is rapidly shrinking. He cannot afford any more reasons for the lost of confidence.
If I am an Obama supporter, this May 6th is the best & last chance for Obama to finish off Hillary Clinton or on we go to June 2008. He can do this by carrying both Indiana & NC.
He is half way there due to the built-in advantage of a very large African-American voting block in NC. He is also very competitive in IN due to its proximity to IL & a strong base of African-American voters in IN.
What's interesting about all this is the expected payback time if Clinton pulls off the miracle.
And to actually read & hear the media starting to believe.
First it was Chris Matthews last night. Today, its Eleanor Clift.
Joe Scarborough & Pat Buchanan are already close believers.
Read & Enjoy!
· CA House roundup - July edition (dday)
· McCain: Afghanistan Not a "Major Conflict" (Jonathan Singer)
· McCain Press Pool Goes Commando (Tracy Joan)
· Schumer: 60 Dem Senators Possible (Josh Orton)
· Jindal Out (Josh Orton)
· Scalise and Kennedy Shilling for Big Oil (DailyKingFish)
· IA: Grassley and Christian conservatives at odds (desmoinesdem)
· Richardson tells McCain to stop whining (fbihop)
· OR-SEN: New DSCC/IE ad in Oregon (karichisholm)
· NM Dems GET the netroots; GOP not so much (fbihop)
· Louisiana House 2Q Fundraising #'s (DailyKingFish)
· OR-SEN: Merkley's Netroots Nation video (karichisholm)